Analyst - PS3 to see 10% GAIN in 2010, Wii60 to DECLINE! (Wii 20%, 360 5%)

[yanamaster]

hduser said:

yanamaster said:

CGI-Quality said:
It's actually quite possible pristine. The PS3 will see some of it's biggest titles to release yet: FFXIII/GT5/GOW III. Those three alone can cause a significant increase and that's not even taking into account what Sony has set up for the Holiday. As far as Nintendo and Microsoft declining, I can't say. But a 10% increase for Sony looks feasible.

Just like in 2009 it had a 100 $ price reduction, killzone 2, uncharted 2, assassins creed 2 and other additional good software. To me it looks like the ps3 is a little short on cards to gain that 10% growth.

 

i really think that people are over estimating  the significance of both FF13 and GT5 in america, these games have never been incredible sellers and hw movers in NA, more like moderate. both series make a killing worldwide but lately have seen lower sales than 6-8 years ago. It may actually just be like with most PS3 big hitters that they sell less than was expected at first (kz2, uncharted2 etc) but still sold well.

Is it possible you're underestimating the impact of FF13 and GT5?  Even though they're "sequels", it'll be the first appearance on the PS3.  Even with these games, there's still the undertow of bluray adoption that could help drive PS3 sales.  So 10% increase doesn't seem out of line.

Well with FF13 you have to remember that it is not exclusive to the ps3 and i have this gut feeling that the sales proportions won't look like 2:1 or 3:1 in favour of the ps3. I'm actualy considering a slight 1.1:1 advantage for the xbox in that regard (in the Americas of coursem, ww is purely ps3 orientated). I doubt also that blu ray adoption would lead to higher ps3 sales as you can buy cheaper and better blu ray players now in any bigger media store.