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Squilliam on 02 January 2010
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Awesome, I'll have me some of this!

In alphabetical order, or you could say my order of the most awesome according to your opinion of my opinion.

Microsoft:

  • Xbox 360 will be revised in performance (hey self promotion!) 33% chance. Too many factors outside/inside of Microsoft to account for.
  • Xbox 360 will be between flat YOY and up by no more than 2.5M units 70% chance.
  • All Xbox's will be Natalised 70% chance
  • Halo Reach will sell near 7M+ units within 3 months of launch 70% chance.
  • Gears of War 3 will be released 60% chance.
  • Xbox 360 will have 3 (s)exclusives outside of Halo which sell 5M+ units 45% chance.
  • Microsoft will win E3 45% chance (natal games are the hype)
  • Microsoft will give explicit information about Xbox 360 performance thus far 1% chance.
  • Microsoft will break $1B in profit for the EDD financial year ending June 45% chance.

Nintendo:

  • Nintendo will release a 'Wii HD' 55% chance, the definition ranges from HDMI with scaling to entirely new console.
  • The Wii will be flat YOY (price cut) or slightly raised. 60% chance.
  • Nintendo will release a pair of 10M+ selling I.Ps 55% chance.
  • Nintendo will suffer a major scandal 5% chance.
  • Miyamoto will retire 5% chance.
  • DS will be down YOY 70% chance.
  • DS will be replaced 40% chance.
  • Nintendo will win E3 20% chance. (The journalists hate them like slaves hate chains)

Sony:

  • Sony will release 3 games which fail to meet 'expectations' 99% chance.
  • Sony will release a PSP 2 60% chance
  • The PS3 will pass the Xbox 360 during the year 20% chance.
  • The PS2/PSP will have its final year on sale in western countries 50% chance.
  • GT5 will launch and fail to meet 'expectations' well 1-100% chance depending on who you ask.
  • Sony will release two 5M+ selling exclusives outside of GT5 25% chance
  • Sony will win E3 35% chance.
  • Sony wand will sell more than 3 million units during the year 25% chance.
  • PS3 will be flat within 1.5M of previous years sales 70% chance
  • PS3 will be revealed to have been an Xbox 360 in disguise the whole time 40% chance.


Tease.