| thetonestarr said: Estimating that the Japanese results will show Wii hardware sales at around 45,000 (a 36% climb from last week), if the Wii continues selling through Jan. 1 at the rates it's moving, it will end up selling in the vicinity of 3.5 million more consoles between now and the New Year. That would place it at approximately 17.5m total. This is also assuming that sales won't continue drastically growing as we move further into the holiday season, which I believe they very likely will. I'm going to leave my personal predictions out of this thread, however.
In a similar vein, looking at 360's sales, we can expectit to finish this year with an additional 1.8-1.9m console sales at current rates, with about 15.5m total worldwide. Meanwhile, the PS3 will likely end with 1.7m additional, finishing around 8m total worldwide.
Again, these are all rough estimates based on how sales are going now that we've officially entered into the holiday buying season. Things COULD possibly change drastically, and I wouldn't be surprised if each of those numbers end up being low. However, looking at the way numbers ran this past week (and weeks preceeding), it looks like the trend I'm estimating will be fairly accurate.
FINAL ESTIMATED COUNT, DEC. 31, 2007 @ 2359: Wii - 17.5m, 360 15.5m, PS3 8m. |
The Wii has 14.86m worldwide now so maintaining the current rate (0.7m for 5 weeks) it would be in the vicinity of 18.5m not 17.5m.
The PS2 sold 610,000 six weeks before the end of 2005 (I'm counting the week ending January 1 as a week in 2005) and it went on to sell nearly 4.4 million in the next 5 weeks. Typically the strongest sales are in the 2 weeks before Christmas so Nintendo will probably increase shipments then to keep retailers happy.
I'm expecting the total to be in the mid 19m range by year's end with 20m not being impossible.
