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FilaBrasileiro said:
TheSource said:
3:1 odds against it if I were a betting man, will be very close though.

 It won't be close, it has to sell 5.5 million in 5 weeks, will the Wii sell 1.1 million a week from now till Xmas? I seriously doubt it, as the only system with a remote chance of doing those kind of numbers is the DS.


actually it is 6 weeks, after this week has finished i suspect it will be 5.1/5.2 million for the last 5 weeks.....The strange thing is it could sell that many....last year the DS did 5 million in the last 5 weeks, the Wii has a similar demand level.

I personally think 19-19.5 million is probable.....that's an average of about 850-900k per week (for the 6 weeks) this week being posted soon (23rd/24th) should be 550-600k, followed by near 700k, then maybe 850k ish, then about 1 million, then 1.3 for the week before christmas (ending 22nd/23rd) then another 850k the week across christmas...that makes erm, 5.2 - 5.3 million in 6 weeks, and puts the Wii at 19.5 million.

 

There is little chance it will be less than 18.5M....as that would be an average of 600k per week, which as this week (ending 23rd/24th) will be close to 600k is a stupidly low number.

20 million is not so insane as you all seem to think, I like Nintendo try to keep my numbers conservatively realistic, John Lucas likes to be very positively realistic,  he does know where he gets his predictions from.