Famitsu Sales (12/14 - 12/20) ff13 launch week

[mrstickball]

jarrod said:

mrstickball said:

jarrod said:

I expect between 30-40k.  Innocence did 30k it's 2nd week and it opened at only 100k.  Hearts opened at 140k but didn't chart it's second week (we only got top 20 that week, and #20 was 50k iirc).

Really a shame though.  Honestly, I think Namco & Nintendo should've just pushed it to January when we found out FFXIII's date.

Thing with Innocence vs. Graces is that most (actually all) console Tales drop ~80% on their second week. Unless Graces performs remarkably different than NotNW, it will most likely sell between 28-33k this week, and see a 50% drop next week to 14-16k.

Graces/Hearts/Innocence are a bit unique though in that they're holiday launches.  Innocence and Hearts had longer tails that usual for mothership entries, I still think that may apply to Graces also.  Plus Innocence had closer to a 70% drop, which would be ~40k for Graces.

 

But:

• Tales of Destiny 2 launched on November 28th
• Tales of Rebirth launched on December 16th
• Tales of The Abyss launched on December 15th
• Tales of Destiny launched on November 30th

So there are a decent number of Tales games launched during the holiday period that didn't have fantastic legs. The DS Tales games had good legs, but at the same time, they were for the DS, so it would make more sense for a console mainline Tales game to sell......Like a console mainline tales game.

But we'll see. If I'm right, Graces will hit 30k this week (which was the Source's estimation). If I'm wrong, it'll do closer to 40k. However, if I'm right, then I do expect Graces to do 65% of LTD sales on week 1, which would be around 200k.