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bmmb1 said:

I think some people may be getting a bit (a bit) carried away due to the latest numbers. Yes the game has almost unprecedented sales, and yes I expect it will have absolutely great legs for a long time to come, but I believe at least some of the numbers we see here are further augmented due to the season (hence why week 3 is higher than week 2), and so while I expect it to do great, I think the higher end of expectations (30 mil) is a bit too optimistic, a result of people looking at (partly) season influenced numbers and extrapolating them.

 

But who knows.

People have always predicted high sales, as many of us thought it could be "the next Mario Kart." High 20 million or cracking 30 million has been discussed before (I'd still put it under mid-high 20's), just think of it as a beefed up NSMB DS. The fact that current sales are due to the holiday boost is taken into consideration.

The "latest numbers" hardly change this - it means worldwide the game will sell maybe 2 million more than expected (though I am shocked it'll shatter all records in Japan). America and Others is where it counts, and while I'm sure America can easily manage 10+ million sales (we love our Mario here), I'm unsure how high it can get in Others. Of course, this isn't quite guaranteed yet, just my take on it, we'll have to wait and see for sure.