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BladeOfGod said:
ioi said:

New Super Mario Bros. Wii has sold 1.9m in 3 weeks but is what is known as a long-term seller. It should hit 4m with ease and could top out at over 5m.

Final Fantasy XIII has sold 1.5m in the first week but what is known as a short-term seller or "frontloaded". Typically, FF games sell around 75% of their total in week one, suggesting FF XIII is good for about 2m in total (and maybe another 200-300k with international releases and budget releases).

A quick example of this difference:

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=New+Super+Mario+Bros.+-+DS[1582]&reg2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+VIII+-+PS[758]&weeks=100

There is no way on earth that FFXIII will outsell NSMB Wii in Japan or even come anywhere close.

My PREDICTION is that at the end of this gen, FF13 will sell more than NSMBW. I might be wrong and i might be right. There is no need to say im a joke account because of my prediction. You were wrong before too.

 

at least ioi offered the reason behind his prediction. What would be your reasoning for FF13 to outsell NSMBW in Japan or WW?

As I asked earlier, I'm wonderinghow it is gonna happen when FFXIII can't even outsell NSMBW in the month it's released.

Up to today, NSMBW has ousold FFXIII in Japan. Next week it will outsell FFXIII when it's on its 4th week and FFXIII on its 2nd. How do you think FFXIII will ousell NSMBW beyond that? I would love to know how it could happen since I see zero chance for it to happen. Therefore, zero chance for you to be right.

If what you did is not considered as a joke, I would like to predict that 360 will sell more than PS3 in Japan at the end of this gen.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.