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Astrodust on 25 November 2007
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Lingyis said:
Sqrl said:
Lost tears of Kain said:
I have zero doubt the wii will dominate this christmas

you should of seen the local stores, INSANE, INNNNNNNNNNNNNNNSANE

QFT, there simply will not be enough units.

 

We of course have known this for a few months now, but if the last 2 weeks are any indication I think the demand is going to be a lot higher than I was expecting. Unfortunately it probably won't matter much because there won't be enough consoles for what I was expecting.


i honestly think this x'mas is gonna be the last x'mas where the wii sells as ridiculously good as it is right now. so enjoy these whopping numbers while they last, because i think by this time next year wii would be selling at more "reasonable" levels.

i'm saying this largely because of what we observed in japan--at some point the demand just has to saturate. we just haven't reached that point in the US yet, and i'm estimating that this x'mas nintendo will have done a good job satisfying that demand, essentially demand of an extended launch.

don't flame me! just speaking my mind.

obviously we don't know what nintendo has up its sleaves for 2008, but i do know that there will never be something as revolutionary and as much fun as WiiSports. so, i anticipate that after Wii demand is saturated in the US after holiday 2007, holiday 2008 the Wii won't sell at this ridiculous rate.


 I think your assessment depends on what Nintendo has to offer in 2008. We know that Wiifit is coming, but don't know how people will respond to it.  Could it open up new markets and be a hit? Will it be so popular that it will be hard to find next Christmas? And what about the mysterious body controller patent. We also don't know what games are coming after spring from Nintendo.  I'm sure they aren't sitting on their hands. Wii userbase should be over 30 million by holidays 2008. This means even more developer support than 2007. I expect more quality games as well. The system with the most support will get the most games. Look at the DS. Japan and America are totally different markets. Being successful in one doesn't guarantee success in the other. The 360 is the most obvious example of this. I wouldn't be too worried about Japan though. Once MH3 comes out next year, Wii should pick up.