How Big Will NSMB Wii Be? Possibly 9 Million Before the End of the Year?

[Arius Dion]

Zucas said:

Arius Dion said:
You know Zuc's, I'm going to say your 9m prediction is quite feasable. Simply because although things move so fast around here, I remember when CoD:W@W was being called a flop (lol) and you (along with BigJon) Were talking about how 1m was entirely possible and look what happened there.

You seem quick to dismiss yourself as being overly optimistic a lot of the times but honestly you aren't. Realistic is more like it. ;)

Well thanks.  I think it is quite feasible as well but does have to hit the higher tier of sales in all regions.  But I think I've under estimated the selling power in Mario in America a little bit (especially considering I doubt Ninty under shipped it by too much and the game is selling out) so that will help the prediction.  But I do like the middle ground a little better and maybe the 8.5 million number will turn out to be around the actual number.  But hey not like it is impossible right.

As for World at War, really what happened with that is people were dismissing it based off things that didn't matter.  Early sales and online players.  Really when I judge games, I like to give them a couple of months to actually see where they go, especially for some Wii/DS games.  Mainly for them because sometimes it takes a little longer for the word to get out and have a lot more competition on shelf space unless they can get a big brand.  But really when it came to World at War there were three things that I thought would happen and did.  First was the intense advertising by that of Activision.  Second was the lack of competition in the shooter market on the Wii and a solid shooter like World at War would shine because of it.  And three was simply because the Call of Duty brand was getting so big that when Wii owners were going in for the holidays looking for that brand... this is what they would find.  Also found Call of Duty 3 which had some good sales durin the time as well.  Everything was just setup for a good selling month in December.  Can't say the same will happen for Modern Warfare Reflex mainly due to the lack of advertising.  Really a few commercials could have made it quite a big seller but I guess they've obtained all they wanted anyways.

 

But yea when I was coming up with these New Super Mario Bros Wii sales I really didn't see them as too overly optimistic but I did think my "week 4" Japanese one may be and probably will be.  But I do try to be as realistic as possible with these predictions because I'm not trying to state impossible whims but feasible things that seem like "dream sales".  New Super Mario Bros Wii does actually seem like one of those titles that we are going to look back in a few years and think just how impressive its sales really were.  I mean to get almost or maybe 9 million in 7 weeks is something quite impressive.

Absolutely. I respect the way you handle things here (VGC) Very down the middle. And very logical. Its refreshing to see on gaming forums. We'll keep an eye on things in the coming weeks and see where it lands. Any way you slice it, this game has been an incredible success. I foresee Mario Kart Wii type longevity. Also, WF+ and WSR are really just racking up incredible sales as well.