jacks81x said:
johnsobas said:
jacks81x said:
Hidalgo said:
Hm, I was assuming that FFXIII would make 1.8 million (more or less) on it's first week, just like the last 5 Final Fantasy games did.
I can't even understand it... (no, I can't admit the "make-it-rare" theory this time). |
The last few FF games were released to a much larger install base. If using similar attach rate, FFXIII selling anything close to 1 million would already be a huge success relatively speaking.
FF12 sold 1.8m in its first week to a PS2 install base of about 20m. That's an attach rate of under 10%. If FF13 can sell 1 million copies in its first week, that's an attach rate of 25%, which is amazing for any game, let alone a dying genre like JRPGs.
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actually FF7 and FF10 were released on small userbases too, FF7 was able to sell 2 million first week on a similar userbase to ps3 right now. Yes PS1 ended up with a huge userbase, but FF7 had most of its sales in the first few weeks, still front loaded. This is Final Fantasy we're talking about, userbase actually doesn't matter that much.
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Well, I'm not going to compare it to FF7 since that game was revolutionary in many ways. No FF since has matched the success that FF7 had. Also, since the late 90's the interest in JRPGs has gradually regressed. So IMO FF13 is in no way going to get anywhere near the sales numbers that FF7 had.
Second, when FFX came out on July 19, 2001, the PS2 had an install base of 5.1 million. So that's one more million units that what the PS3 will have when FF13 comes out tomorrow.
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I wouldn't say interested in JRPG's would have gradually regressed in Japan but most JRPG fans has moved to handhelds. DQ IX still sold 2.3 million first week and over 4m LTD (still selling) which is more than any previous entries in the series. This is even more what FF7 sold during 90's.
