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For the Wii, I'd say it is not stellar, but is an improvement over 2009 in both sales potential and personal taste.
I think these 5 titles will sell more than 500k worldwide total.
Super Monkey Ball Step & Roll
Sonic & Sega All-Stars Racing
DanceDanceRevolution
Endless Ocean: Blue World
Red Steel 2
and these 2 games have a shot at it.
No More Heroes 2: Desperate Struggle
TATSUNOKO VS. CAPCOM: ULTIMATE ALL-STARS

Throw in that Sports Resort, Wii Fit Plus, and NSMBWii should all still sell well, I think it is a substantial improvement over last year.

For the "core" gamer, I would think between Red Steel 2, No More Heroes 2, Tatsunko vs. Capcom, Fragile, Sky Crawlers, and to a lesser extent Monkey Ball, Sonic Racing, and Endless Ocean 2, that Q1 2010 will be off to a much better start than 2009, when the core games were even more niche than this year with Tenchu, Deadly Creatures, and MadWorld.