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Slimebeast said:
Both will sell slightly more than 3 million, but Alan Wake will sell a lil more than KZ2.

KZ2's strength is that it's a shooter. And a shooter who got 91% Meta.

Alan Wake's main strength is that it will be an overall amazing game and get 93-94% Meta. Plus MS will market it well.

You all please member that new AAA IPs like Left 4 Dead, Bioshock and Mass Effect sold very well on the X360 (all +2.5 mill when all is said and done).

And what genre do these successful, new IPs L4D and Bioshock belong to? Oh, *shooter*...

As for Mass Effect, it's dying at 2.10m and selling ~1k weekly (outside the most recent weeks in this run up to Christmas).