Releasing a new console before Sony and MS is a bad idea.
Nintendo is currently pushing upstream with the Wii, which is why Sony and MS have announced their own motion controllers, for Nintendo first they want to beat Sony and MS's counterattacks, and once that Happens, Sony and MS will flee further upstream, and announce their next consoles, going further into the upmarket, at which point Nintendo will then release a new console since the Wii will have exhausted its ability to move further upmarket at that point, basically Nintendo is trying to force Sony and MS to flee further and further into Niche territory, launching a new more powerful console before Sony and MS wouldn't do that.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
