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c0rd said:

Alright, time for the Tales analysis. Here's a table for all the Tales games I could find data for:

Tales of Release date First day First week LTD (VGC)
Vesperia (PS3) 9/17/09 147k 217k 334k (still selling)
VS. (PSP) 8/6/09 89k 133k 217k (still selling)
Radiant Mythology 2 (PSP) 1/29/09 135k 213k 330k
Hearts (DS) 12/18/08 121k 140k 251k
Vesperia (X360) 8/7/08 71k 108k 186k
Symphonia: DotNW (Wii) 6/26/08 120k 137k 216k
Innocence (DS) 12/6/07 76k 104k 262k

I bolded the titles that launched in December, and used VGC for LTD (dunno where to look for Famitsu).

I guess you can hope for a pattern like Innocence, though that's probably pushing it. If I had to guess ToG's lifetime now (really not much to go by atm), I'd say 270k. I'm assuming it'll outdo Hearts, since this game launched earlier in the month.

Some older December Tales from VGC data:

Radiant Mythology (PSP, 2006) - 112k FW, 234k LTD
Abyss (PS2, 2005) - 378k FW, 570k LTD
Rebirth (PS2, 2004) - 385k FW, 589k LTD


Anyway, I hope its first week surprises us. If it turns out to be something like 170k, it still has a chance at overtaking Vesperia (PS3).

Thanks for this.

I'd say first week sales of Tales of Graces will be at ~140k, and lifetime sales will be at ~225k. It'll do pretty similar to Dawn of the New World (which is extremely disappointing).