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Netyaroze said:
If its just a little over 100k it wont be enough for the Wii to "win" this christmas . FF13 boost will be bigger. It could happen that PS3 2009 Japan>Wii 2009 Japan and that would be massive. I never heard of a third place console which managed to outsell for a year the leader in one region. Has Saturn ever outsold Playstation 1 in Japan ? The NSMBWII boost have to have big legs so Japan will fall to Wii.

After this week PS3's ~200k behind Wii ytd in Japan iirc.  Even with the FFXIII impact coming, I don't think they'll be able to manage beating Wii given Nintendo's historical holiday lifts.

Saturn did outsell PS1 initially (thank you Virtua Fighter 1/2), but the PS3/Wii grudge match this year reminds me mostly of PSP/DS in 2007.  PSP also resurged that year thanks to a slim redesign and Final Fantasy game, and nearly beat out a (declining) DS for the year.  It also perfectly matches the timelines (3 years from launch for each).