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@John lucas....500 million lifetime is just plainly ridiculous. It wont sell 4 times more than the PS2. Thats just impossible because the Wiiisnt anything like as dominant, especially in the USA. As for selling 40 million next year, thats not as crazy, but lets get some perspective, the Wii has sold 14 million as of year 1 and will probably end between 16-17. There are only so many humans capable and willing of playing games consoles, it would be a good result to keep the current year 1 pace up, because the other 2 rivals arnt dead yet and Sony will throw billions at the PS3 to keep it alive.