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letsdance on 08 December 2009
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silicon said:
letsdance said:
silicon said:
This is based off of pre-orders way in advance. This game is going to have a huge advertising budget... and most games are sold because of advertising.

Pre-orders during a holiday season for a game released in March are generally not going to be that great.

I agree that it might not hit 10 million in NA, 6 million combined is possible. It also depends how the game is reviewed.

Another factor could be that a lot of people are just importing it from Japan instead of pre-ordering it. If you were a big enough fan to pre-order it you might import it. Recently there was an article saying it was the number one exported game this gen.


its based off a lot more than that. Its based off of GoW pre-orders. ME2 pre-orders. BFBC pre-orders. Ps3 SW sales. Ps3 beating 360 in sales of the game. JRPGs not being as popular. HW sales not as high as Ps2...

Well.. just looking at that pre-order list is not good enough proof. If it if it, you should have also included previous examples of pre-order charts compared to first week sales that support your claims.

 

I'm not sure how PS3 beating 360 in sales helps your claim that the combined sales of PS3 and X360 will be less then FF12.

 

In terms of JRPGs not being as popular, that could be true... but there are no real big budget JRPGs that I'm aware of that can draw a NA audience. I have a feeling you're under estimating the power of pretty visuals.

 

 


I'm not just looking at pre-order charts. I'm also looking at So4 and ToV... I'm sure WKC will fall in there too. Rogue Galaxy had small sales but both of the Dark Cloud games had decent sales. If Level 5 sees similiar sales then WKC will see over a million sold (Doubtful). And someone mentioned U2 and my methology would have been spot on for pre-orders of that game 9 weeks before its launch... Ps3 beating 360 helps me out because in order to get sales SE wants the 360 really needs to start picking up some slack.