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If vgchartz' pre-order numbers are correct then I say the game is in trouble. Not only it is going to underperform in Japan but also in North America.

But since I do not trust vgchartz' numbers anymore I'am still expecting the game to do well.

FF games LTD in USA (NPD):

FFVII - 2.40m, FFVIII - 1.90m, FFIX - 1.31m, FFX - 2.46m, FFXII - 1.91m

So for about ten years the sales of mainline FF games in US were pretty consistent, more consistent than they are in Japan, actually.

Still, I say there is a possibility that FFXIII will fail in the West. Not because of vgchartz' pre-order numbers but because there seem to be a general disinterest in the franchise and home console jRPGs this gen.