I don't know, does anyone else feel like the Wiimotes motion controlling is pretty limited? I'm excited about Natal because it breaks those limits (though it has some of it's own limits) and opens up gaming for a myriad of possibilities.
I think there are 2 major factors on Natal's success: price tag, and latency. If the price is over $120 US (not that it would be), I don't see it having much of a chance (I personally predict somewhere around $80 US). If there is a significant time delay between motion, detection, processing, and output (so from your moving, and Natal picking that information up, processing it how it needs to, and sending it to the Xbox) then I can't see Natal working out. I hope for a max of 50 ms lag, but 100ish ms lag would be tolerable. If it's closer to 150+ then this is probably a pass for me.
At least for myself, and I've said this before, Natal is exciting because of the possibilities and potential, but until we know more specifics , I won't judge whether it is a must-buy or not.
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