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Louie said:
Well we´ve got Sega, too. With 1st generation worse than the seond one and gen 3 and 4 failing they exatcly match to this theory. And Atari was the same: 1st gen good, 2nd gen better 3rd gen bad. So we get to 6 proven examples for it.

 Of course it is just a theory, but Microsoft follows the same way (at least for the first 2 gens) with Xbox and 360.

 And important is how big your market can be in the best possible scenario (I pointend it out befor though): Sega did good with Genesis because they knew their mistakes from their first console. Sega fits even better in this rule than Nintendo because SNES sold worse than NES.

 But again: It is just a theory.


 

Again, wrong. The SMS-1000 (the first Sega system) sold 8-10m units. It was then transformed into the Sega Master System/Genesis which did 35m units.......A massive increase. It's market then shrunk to about 40% of the market it formerly had, then shrunk another 33% with the DC before it was axed.

The Atari 2600 sold 24m units w/w against very fierce competition. It was the first iteneration of the Atari machine. The 5200 sold maybe 4m units, 7200 sold 2m, and Jaguar sold 3m. Really, there was no drop-off for Atari. After the market crash, Atari was ruined as a h/w maker and never recovered. But in the same breath, it never had another succuess/failure other than the 2600.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.