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well before i would have said 2011 0r 2012 but after seeing what the ps3 has been doing recently, that combined with the lineup they have for 2010, then id say i if sony make the RIGHT MOVES then they can do it before 2011 begins! just look at the sales now guys.. say if the ps3 was cut to $199 near the end of 2010, now im not saying its gonna happen but it COULD, that what im trying to say. even if the ps3 stays the same price for the entire next year theres a good chance it can do it but if sony wanna go for the overkill then they know what they gotta do.