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jlauro on 05 December 2009
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letsdance said:
jlauro said:

From: http://www.ce.org/PDF/2K10_5tech_web.pdf
Recent developments in holographic storage might mean that formats based on this idea are closer than we think. GE Global Research in early 2009 announced that it had developed a holographic storage material capable of storing 500GB of data on a DVD-sized optical disc – ten times the amount that can be stored on a dual-layer Blu-ray disc.

(expect commercial devices 2012). IMHO, the real question is, will Blu Ray take off by then or is it just a niche market, that will be largely ignored by the masses esentially waiting for something better. Things tend to be very expensive the first year or two, so blu ray may have another year or two to reach >50%. Personally, I doubt it will, but it might by 2014. If it doesn't by 2014, it will be too outdated.

LOL get this shit outta here. I don't know what peoples obsession with trying to find a way to say blu-ray will fail. A. Consumers are invested in Blu-ray already. It will be hard to convince them to buy something else. B. Companies are invested in blu-ray already. It will be hard to convince them to put effort in a media that has 0 user base. C. 10 times the amount of blu-ray... OKAY? And why do people need that? They don't it's useless.

You look at the Blu Ray sale, some titles have 20%, some 1%...  Obviously A is not hard as they haven't been convinced for Blu Ray yet...  That said, Blu Ray has about 4 more years to do that...   B. This is moot without A, and A has not been established yet.  If via PC or whatever consumers pick something new, it doesn't matter about Blu Ray if no one buys it and sticks with DVD and/or the new thing.  C. If 3D TVs technology becomes standard by then, you will need that much space.  The whole point of marketing is to convince people to get things they don't think they need, so saying that it is not needed is plain wrong.  The question is more of is can it be cost effective...  IE: If it costs the same as Blu Ray, then who needs Blu Ray...  if it costs 10 times as much, then most consumers will not be interested except for their PCs, etc...