| jlauro said: From: http://www.ce.org/PDF/2K10_5tech_web.pdf Recent developments in holographic storage might mean that formats based on this idea are closer than we think. GE Global Research in early 2009 announced that it had developed a holographic storage material capable of storing 500GB of data on a DVD-sized optical disc – ten times the amount that can be stored on a dual-layer Blu-ray disc. (expect commercial devices 2012). IMHO, the real question is, will Blu Ray take off by then or is it just a niche market, that will be largely ignored by the masses in favor of something better. Things tend to be very expensive the first year or two, so blu ray may have another year or two to reach >50%. Personally, I doubt it will, but it might by 2014. If it doesn't by 2014, it will be too outdated. |
Whoah, grasping for anything, huh?
And how expensive will those be in 2012 when, yes, Blu-Ray will have a significant install base and a lot of people will be invested in it? Will it be time for people to upgrade by then? Who knows, but I'm thinking no. Whatever is next will be the true niche high-quality disc, because by then digital download will be much more developed, and can deliver higher quality. Who knows, maybe some afficianados will jump at them, but to me, I don't see much market for resolutions above 1080p/lossless audio if the discs cost more.
I challenge you to come up with a coherent explanation of why people wouldn't move to higher quality Blu-Ray but WILL move to even higher quality holographic. Especially when HDTVs only go up to 1080p. And people even say that unless you have a big set, you don't even need 1080p. Nope, holographic disc movies will always, always be niche compared to Blu-Ray. It's an open question whether studios will even produce movies on them.
