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letsdance said:

So with 30% of a consoles life you can calculate its chances of being profitable? And a company shouldn't slash prices with a redesign even if it allows them to lower costs?

A internal redesign for lower costs can be done without a relaunch with new design. Sony has reduced cost inside the PS3 many times without launching a new revision.

A new revision launch is a combat move, just like lowering price. To use both moves at the same time is risky, I would have spread them out and use the Slim launch to meet the next move from Microsoft.



Predictions for 2009:

360: 39-42 PS3: 31-34 Wii: 67-70

Future projection

Wii will hit 100 million before christmas 2010 (made december 2008)

NDS Family will have sold and shipped more then PS2 at the end of 2009 (made january 2009)