NJ5 said:
The gap between the Wii and PS3+360 combined is 3.56 million (i.e. smaller than the gap between PS3 and 360). For PS3 to get 25%, it has to sell one third of Wii and 360 combined. Right now the gap is 3 million.
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I'd add that the current trend is for the Wii marketshare to decrease, so the answer to the second question would be "infinite time".
Over the last 10 weeks we had
| Console | Wii | PS3 | X360 |
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Total
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4,728,270
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3,034,538
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2,075,725
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which amount to 48%, 31%, and 21% of the total sales respectively and show the recent trend. If we project the data from these last 10 weeks in the future - which is not realistic, of course - the PS3 would reach 25% in about 50 weeks.







