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Noobie said:
So can we really expect 150k for Wii hardware..? first day numbers dont look so high to me that Wii hardware will see a big spike..

I wouldn't be surprised.  Japan is a very volatile market.  Look at the spikes the ps3 recieved from MGS4 and the FFXIII demo.  NSMBWii has an opening week far higher than either of those (at least 2x).

But then, the Wii does already have a substantial install base in Japan, and there have been numerous Mario games released on the console already.  But 2D Mario kinda stands on its own. 

I honestly have no idea how the Wii might do, but 150k wouldn't surprise me at all.