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binary solo said:

And don't be so quick to say that Wii is still outselling PS2. Do you know what PS2 achieved in the Americas on it's 3rd BF week? 643K. And world wide on that BF week? 1.2 million. And do you know how many million selling weeks PS2 had in it's 3rd holiday sales season? 5. With the peak sales week achieving 1.79 million. That looks a heck of a lot like Wii's 2008 (2nd) holiday season, in fact the similarities are uncanny. Wii has such a huge lead over PS2 that lifetime sales aren't under threat, but it will be interesting to see if, after going through the first 2 and a bit years ahead on an average weekly basis Wii starts the next couple of years behind PS2 on an average weekly basis.

From a business perspective it's not champagne time. From a gamer's perspective it is still fun time.

This is Wii's 4th black friday, not third, it was released in 2006 prior to black friday, in 2003, PS2 sold only 19 million, Wii is on its way past that, its already past 15 million after last week

 

Nintendo is right to be concerned at how this holiday season has started. They are entering the second half of the game with a performance that is giving both MS and PS3 a bit of a sniff of catching up (though no chance of over-taking) if they storm into 2010. Right now Sony will be thinking that they might have a chance of PS3 winning the biggest sales week of the year. If PS3 does win in FFXIII week it will be a massive confidence boost for Sony. "Sony's PS3 has the biggest sales week out of all console manufacturers for the whole of 2009", "Sony's winning strategy with PS3" Fortune Magazine cover: "How Sony fought back after being down for the count". Nintendo really don't want that to happen. Winning the last weekend before Christmas is PR gold for a company trying to win back support for its brand. It means the kind of feel good free advertising that competitors really don't want to see. Personally, I think Sony needed a big game release worldwide in FFXIII week for it to have a chance of beating Wii that week, FFXIII in Japan only isn't going to be enough. But the week is going to be a lot closer than Nintendo is going to be comfortable with.

 

No, PS3's sales last week were boosted by very aggressive bundling, and Wii still beat it handily, PS3 doesn't have the same effect going forward



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)