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BenKenobi88 said:
Kwaad said:
 

If you want the honest answer, I would say the 360, just because sony just restructed, and dumped even MORE money into the PS3, for whatever reason. Sony is not considering it a loss yet. The 360, on the verge of looking profitable, seems to be at biggest risk, because of hardware losses, and what not, however due to the success of Halo3, pulled it out of the hole. I would have the say the Wii will be the first to go this gen.


Ok...so you try to explain why you think the 360 will fail...and then you say the Wii will be the first to go...without explaining at all?

Do you realize even IF the Wii's popularity died soon, like end of next year let's say...that Nintendo has already raked in a ton of money, and could do plenty to keep it going? Nintendo isn't even taking risks...it's just chugging along...if the Wii started to do poorly, we don't even know what Nintendo would try...they could lower prices, get more games out, who knows.


Lowering prices, obviously, will be the first step.  Wii demand would skyrocket, even now, if there was a lower price.  Of course, it doesn't make sense to lower the price until after supply catches demand.

There's no denying that the Wii is here to stay for several more years.  I see a lot of "The Wii is a fad that will die in a few months, then the PS3 will magically get out of last place."  It doesn't make any sense.  The Wii has a ton of 3rd party support (it appears to have the most right now), low costs of development in an industry struggling with development costs and development times, and insane sales despite being the only next-gen console yet to see its first price cut. 

To be fair, it's not reasonable to expect a price-cut within the first year or so of a console's life unless there are significant problems with its performance.