Nintendo might actually miss it's revised Wii target of 20 million shipped

[Ail]

Zucas said:

Well it is certainly possible but considering you base it off one week of sales with no back trends or even current shipment data, it's hard to believe that with what you provide a solid argument is made.

But it is possible that Ninty may only ship 19 million and not hit their 20 million target.

I'm not really basing myself on one week.

If you look at the data we have so far for November the Wii is tracking lower than 2008 in those weeks, Black Friday data just tells us the situation didn't improve this week( which was NSMBWii second week by the way, there's no huge software still to be released for the Wii in the West in the next 4 weeks..)

If so far it is tracking lower , and seeing how huge Q1 2009 was, it is going to be hard to match those numbers...