Nintendo might actually miss it's revised Wii target of 20 million shipped

[Ail]

Basing myself on VGChartz numbers ( shipped numbers should not be that far off)..

April 5th 2009 -> November 21st 2009 : 9.01 million units.

 

Now lets look at the rest of the year :

Last year we had : November 23rd 2008 ->April 4th 2009 : 11.65 millions units.

So if for the rest of the year the Wii performs exactly like last year we get a total 20.65 million units sold and Nintendo  does reach its target.

However we have Black Friday in the US that is off 30% compared to last year so matching 2008 number isn't looking so good and Nintendo does not have a lot of margin ( they can be 10% off the rest of the year but not a lot more)..

 

Anyway based on this I am now thinking they won't actually ship more than 19 million units.