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I think 2010 will swing back to 360. After PS3's massive seachange this year, they'll do a similar "360 slim" and steep pricedrop ($199 Elite, $149 Arcade) to coincide/bundle with Natal next fall.

I think we'll likely see pricecuts again next fall for PS3 and Wii too, but not $100 drops. Sony can't afford to eat it and Nintendo just won't eat it.