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Hard to predict.

But the prize effect in 2010 with do the job all the year, and we can imagine that a new prize cut in september 2010 + Sony Wand + surprise incoming could made 2010 the ps3 peak.

In november the natal project and the announce of the wii HD can disturbed 2011.

So perhaps 2010.

And I bet 15 M will be the peak, far less than the wii peak.