ioi vs ZorroX :: Japan prediction Contest for Wii & PS3 Holiday Sales. :P

[Noobie]

Noobie said:

Was just bored n had lot of time to kill so i decided to create a thread to check the prediction accuracy by ioi & ZorroX

These numbers r taken from http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=87346&page=1 thread.

 

 

	Wii	PS3
	ioi's Orig	ioi's Upd	ZorroX' Orig	ZorroX's Upd	Actual	Last Year	ioi's	ZorroX's	Actual	Last Year
27-Sep-09	18,000	18,000	18,000	18,000	12,415	26,183	30,000	42,000	45,430	8,370
04-Oct-09	45,000	45,000	45,000	45,000	33,831	25,691	30,000	47,000	37,642	7,400
11-Oct-09	41,500	41,500	41,500	41,500	30,017	22,214	28,000	40,000	30,081	5,875
18-Oct-09	38,500	38,500	38,500	38,500	28,596	25,538	25,000	45,000	28,902	4,810
25-Oct-09	36,000	25,000	36,000	36,000	25,560	24,671	23,000	40,000	30,793	4,056
01-Nov-09	45,000	35,000	55,000	45,000	28,056	24,086	31,000	65,000	36,896	38,171
08-Nov-09	42,500	36,000	42,500	30,500	28,017	26,890	27,500	55,500	46,422	22,399
15-Nov-09	55,000	42,000	55,000	37,500	24,982	28,922	31,000	52,000	36,106	20,426
22-Nov-09	145,000	40,000	115,000	35,000	30,622	37,800	31,000	51,000	31,815	17,895
29-Nov-09	105,000	52,500	75,000	47,000		45,970	38,500	55,500		35,339
06-Dec-09	95,000	155,000	85,000	125,000		55,405	49,500	60,500		28,432
13-Dec-09	110,000	135,000	100,000	120,000		92,392	75,000	95,000		32,169
20-Dec-09	180,000	190,000	125,000	155,000		141,141	175,000	245,000		38,431
27-Dec-09	215,000	255,000	145,000	175,000		148,627	125,000	195,000		47,464
03-Jan-10	165,000	165,000	115,000	130,000		130,613	110,000	180,000		64,970
10-Jan-10	65,000	65,000	75,000	50,000		42,843	47,500	97,500		29,240
17-Jan-10	50,000	50,000	50,000	40,000		31,632	40,000	70,000		20,251
24-Jan-10	40,000	40,000	40,000	35,000		26,226	36,500	56,500		17,765
31-Jan-10	35,000	35,000	35,000	30,000		24,093	33,250	53,250		16,932
Total Till Now	466,500	321,000	466,500	327,000	242,096	241,995	256,500	437,000	324,087	129,433
Grand Total	1,526,500	1,463,500	1,291,500	1,234,000		980,937	986,750	1,458,750		460,417
					Wii				PS3
At Start					8,537,012				3,597,048
To Achieve					10,000,000				5,000,000
Total Diff					1,462,988				1,402,952
Ach Till Now					242,096	0.04%			324,087	150.4%
Curr Total					8,779,108				3,921,135
Remaing					1,220,892				1,078,865

Although its too early to judge which prediction is better, but i think probably the Wii n PS3 will reach the milestones together or within 1, 2 weeks of each other... 

ps. I hope ioi n ZorroX dont mind my taking these numbers n starting a thread on these prediction.. Just wanted to keep an eye.. hopefully i will be updating them weekly.. 

pps. one more prediction can also be added in this contest. 

Disclaimer: The original prediction were initially made by ioi n ZorroX in following thread around the same time. The original numbers are under "Orig" postfix

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=87346&page=1

But after the change in some release dates of Wii titles ioi updated his Wii estimates on 22/10 in the same above thread. Some people asked me to make it unbiased i should request ZorroX to update the estimates also in light of release date change. So i requested ZorroX and he mailed me updated numbers on 06/11. The estimate made before that are untouched. Both updated predictions are denoted by "Upd" post fix.

Btw initially ZorroX used ioi's initial Wii estimates for October n first half of November Wii sales.

PS3 numbers are not changed from the initial estimates.

If anyone has any objection please let me know.

Updated the numbers.. Nothing interesting.. Both ioi n ZorroX predicting a jump for Wii next week before the launch of NSMB realse on week after next. ioi n ZorroX's even updated Wii prediction are pretty high..

Interestingly ioi's PS3 prediction is getting pretty spot on.. So PS3 should hit million or so till Jan 31st.. 

For Wii it look like all the eggs for hardware boost are in NSMB..