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NJ5 said:
I'd like to see what kind of software they have planned before making any predictions... having said that this one is obviously on the extreme end.

Not to mention the price and "bundling" of Natal are still unknown ...

A $60 Project Natal add-on and Game will sell much differently than a $300 stand-alone Project Natal add-on; and I would personally expect it to be $150 to $200 with a game which would mean that  the game would have to be as important as a Guitar-Hero/Rockband to see sales in the 10 Million range, and those would mostly go to people who already own an XBox 360.