so many unknowns..
1. how much will natal cost?
2. how much will buying a 360 + natal cost?
3. what software is going to release and will it be any good?
4. specifically, how casual friendly will the software be?
5. this time next year nintendo will have something like 90M units sold. will a casual (who is defined by their lack of commitment to video games) really buy a second system regardless?
6. what is nintendo bringing to the market for next holiday? or sony for that matter.
7. how badly is sony's wand going to fail?
Okey - personally i don't think you will win your prediction. I think MS will see at least some success with natal, certainly more then sony will with the wand. ...but to place MS on top of both the wii and the ps3 for the rest of the generation? that's a pretty high standard for success.
