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i think Ms is at more advantage and at the same time more closer to a big disadvantage here. If natal succeeds in offering high precession controls without a controller ,MS should be prepared for more Dough.Like wise for Sony however even if Wand is a moderate success Sony will recover its Dev cost .However lets assume both Natal and WAND fails then i think MS's loss and embarrassment will be more epic than Sony's.
What say people??