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ZorroX on 23 November 2009
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peachbuggy said:
What's the point in making predictions then giving yourself a 20% margin of error? That gives you such a broad band of figures it hardly seems worth making a prediction.
bat-ON said:
NPD vs VGC

Round One, Hardware

PlayStation 2 146.0K vs 118.3K - Result = - 27.7k (Error - 19%)
PlayStation 3 491.8K vs 429.6K - Result = - 63.2 K (Error - 13%)
PSP 190.4K vs 164.3K - Result = - 26.1K (Error - 14%)
Xbox 360 352.6K vs 352.1K - Result = -0.5K (Error 0%)
Wii 462.8K vs 395.7K - Result = - 67.1K (Error - 14%)
Nintendo DS 524.2K vs 637.3 - Result = + 113.1 (Error + 21%)

Round 2, Software

HALO 3: ODST 1.52M vs 1.740 Result = + 220K (Error + 14%)
WII SPORTS RESORT 442.9K vs 526k Result = + 83.1K (Error + 19%)
MADDEN NFL 10 360 289.6K vs 245.8k Result = - 43.8K (Error - 15%)
MARIO & LUIGI: 258.1K vs 186k Result = - 72K (Error - 28%)
THE BEATLES:ROCK BAND* 360 254.0K 344K Result = +90K (Error + 35%)
MADDEN NFL 10 PS3 246.5K vs 200K Result = - 46.5K (Error - 19%)
MARVEL:ULTIMATE ALLIANCE 2 360 236.0K vs 279k = + 43k (Error + 18%)
BATMAN:ARKHAM ASYLUM* PS3 212.5K vs 260K = + 47.5K (Error + 22%)
GUITAR HERO 5* 360 210.8K vs 280K = + 69.2K (Error + 32%)
THE BEATLES:ROCK BAND* WII 208.6K vs 365K = + 156.4K (Error +75%)

The difference is most of the time around 15-20% in hardware and 20-25% in software.

Okey..

saicho said:
ZorroX said:

@Noobie, it`s hard to say how much will PS3 sell in first half of 2010, since there is still unknown when most 2010 games will be released.

But i know, that in 2008 after 80GB GT5P bundle release sales dropped to around 20k level in November.
And this year, PS3 is holding stable at 30k+ levels.
That`s why i think PS3 sales will stabilize at 30k+ for most of time during 2010.

2010 first part? I think ps3 will do 1M+.

Before any bet is placed, I'm wondering whether you would think you win the bet as long as PS3 sells 800K in the period since you have a 20% of margin of error for your prediction.

1M+ would mean more than 1 million, right?

Before i answer your question, do i have to make a bet on any prediction that i make? Anyway, since there are 4 trackers for Japan, i think everything above 950k would be considered close to 1M+.