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FTR my prediction is,

Uncharted 2 - 4.5 million LTD
God of War III - 4 million LTD

 

 

To anyone thinking I'm overestimating U2, compare it to the first Assassins Creed on PS3 which released on a much smaller user base. That game went on to sell 3.5 million and it had mixed word of mouth. U2 has great word of mouth and a bigger user base.