Gran Turismo 5, the first 20 million selling GT... maybe.

[Netyaroze]

The first GT game on Console sold always way more then the second one interesting,

If you compare:

GT1: GT3

11 mio vs 14.89 Mio

GT2:GT3

9 Mio vs 10.75 Mio

GT4:prologue vs GT5:prologue

0.8 Mio vs 4.17 Mio

The GT brand has not weakened over the time. Its even stronger

GT has gained 20% from one to the other Gen. It was 20% (19.444) from GT2:Gt4 and 35% (35.3636) from GT1:GT3.

FF7>FF8 FF10>FF12

If GT5 gets the same growth it got in the PS2 times the sales numbers will be 20.1 Mio LTD if it gets the same growth as the series got from one to the other generation 28.2% then GT5 will be 19 Mio if it gets the sales growth from the GT2 to GT4 then it will be 17.97 Mio.

We can judge if GT is on a decline after we know the GT5 LTD. I guess it will stagnate at best that means it will be around 15 Million. Even if the series shrunk by 25% it will get 11 Mio sales LTD.


I am sure it will be atleast as big as GT4 was. And if you spread the sales over the next 3 years. It doesnt need a giant attach ratio to get 11-12 Mio.

The 20 Mio are unlikely but I think the Op wanted to show that 20 Mio are not completly imppssible there is still a minor chance (1%-5%) that it could reach 20 Mio. In 100 different planet earths there would be 1-5 planet earths which would have 20 Mio GT5 sales. For a possible Attach Ratio of 30% there has to be 60 Mio PS3s and thats likely.

Mario Kart has an even higher atach rate. And Mario Kart will be probably around 25 Mio in 2012.

Atleast one thing is sure that the GT5 will be the most successful PS3 game.