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Netyaroze on 19 November 2009
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Is the PS3 not on track with the PS1 sales? And the PS1 sold 105 Million Consoles.

Ok lets do it again. The PSP was released December 2004 in Japan ONLY. In USA and Europe it was released 24 March and 1 September 2005.

The PS3 has just 1 1/2 years delay compared to PSP. In 1 1/2 years the PSP will easily have crossed the 60 million mark. Lets say that the PS3 is slightly slower but in 1 1/2 years it would be a little under the PSP lets say 45 Million but still it has 1 1/2 years to sell the 15 Million. Even if nothing has changed what I doubt the PS3 would reach the 60 Million.


There are things which can hinder the PS3 to reach 60 Million in 3 years this factors are unknown so the effect on sales is unknown.

PS3 release Japan/USA 11 November 17 november 2006 Europe 23 march 2007

In Europe the Peak is 2010 and because of high price and production problems it peaks in Japan and NA delayed so 2010 peak year means 2010 higher sales then 2009. If it really peaks in 2010 then its sure that 60 Mio until 2012 are easy to achieve. And with 60 Mio Consoles its no problem to survive 10 years because if it werent for WII and XBOX360 then with a little over 60 Mio the PS3 would be on third place of all consoles. 60 Mio is enough to live 10 years and because of the game support. There are dozens of solutions like a the PS3 will be a big platform the costs for even better graphic will be higher again. WII 2 releases and will be a bit better then PS3 (2 times) the programmer could make games for both. With the support after a new gen releases. You cant know this because this Gen the last place will be higher then the first place in 16 bit area. And if the Xbox360 stays in front of the PS3. And the PS3 would peak in 2010 then the last place console would outsell the SNES and the NES we cant know how its going to be its simply impossible. You cant know how the Developers will react how the market will be if it will be way cheaper to produce for HD Consoles then for the 8 gen Consoles which eventually have real 3d and need 1080p 120 FPS. We dont know how the people will behave. It can go every way. You think its impossible but you cant know it I cant know it either. Nobody can know it. I gave you the past hours a lot of reasons why exactly the opposite could happen and I will wait for future data which shows us the way it will go.

Nobody can say how the trend will be. After 2010 we have seen natal impact Wand impact. And we will see which year is PS3 peak year after 2010 we will be able to judge the situation a lot better then in the past.


And because of Japan. We will see what happens. You think that NSMBWII will sell more Consoles then FF13 in Japan I think it wont happen. We saw how a little demo boostet the PS3 from under 10k to 60k in its badest times.

The demo of FF13 was a system seller. We just have to wait and see. Ofcourse there is no 2d mario but people which liked the NES or SNES bought a WII a long time ago because of the Virtual Console games. And its not the first 2d mario you can play arent there mario Bros 1-2-3 Mario World on the Wii ?

There are not hundreds of thousand people in Japan which love Mario but dont play 3d mario Games. And dont play other Nintendo games and dont like to play the old classic games.

The WII has reached a point where the market is saturated the Japanese are bored with new technology pretty quick. You can see the last 2 months the PS3 is always in front of the WII. I think sometimes it was practically tied but most of the time it was in front of the Wii. The PS3 was to expensive the people dont bought the console because it was expensiv. The market for PS3 is not saturated. And FF13 is the first FF since FF12. The people are starving for FF 13 you can see it because they buyed over priced bundles with a demo for 499 Dollar.


NSMB WII will be big it will be gigantic. It probably will be bigger then FF13 but it wont move more consoles then FF 13. Which person like Mario and dont play Mario games which person like 2d mario and dont buy the first Console since ages which offers 2d Mario games and combines legaly the ability to play Game Cube games Nintendo 64 games Super nintendo games and NES games ? The profile for the person which would buy a WII just because of NSMBWII is pretty weird. Ofcourse it will sell consoles but lesser then 2008 Christmas. And even if there would exist a Effect you couldnt see it because it would be down YOY. Japan is the only country which had just a small effect after the pricecut. And which is even more down YOY then Wii is down in other areas. Wii peaked in Japan 2008 clearly. It wont be possible to catch 2008 numbers and especially Christmas peaked in 2008.

Just 6 weeks to wait and then we will see it. I am pretty curios how you will react after its clear that even your WIi Japan predictions are false. Probably you should change the way you make predictions if they went wrong too.