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@jarrod, one game is not enough.
There must be several big games for success in Japan.

Again, strong support =/= big sales, but a lot of games. And PS3 owns Saturn/N64/GC in terms of quantity and quality of 1st/2nd party games. Though, most games are west oriented.

Also, +-5k i count as around 30k+ levels. I mean, 27-28k it`s still around 30k+.
I don`t expect PS3 to go below 25k for 5 weeks in Japan during 2010.

@saicho, i don`t make bets for half a year or a year. That would take to much time for waiting.