Gran Turismo 5, the first 20 million selling GT... maybe.

[Netyaroze]

The PS3 has not sold in Europe (The biggest market next to NA both are pretty much the same) until 03/31/2007. The PS3 had during the Launch problems because they were not able to manufacture big amounts of BluRay Drives. You have to count after the Holidays then it will be 30 Mio that means until end 2012 PS3 needs to double the Sold Hardware it will be exactly 10 Mio Consoles per year. This means 10 Mio in 2010/2011/2012.

The PS3 reached the first 30 Mio despite it was delayed in Europe almost half a year. And it Launched at 499/599. For the most people the Playstation launched just 2 months ago because there were never able to pay such a high price. The PS3 is just right now on the highest massmarketprice which is possible.

In the first sales Wekk 2010 the PS3 will be at 30 Mio. 10 Mio a year thats 200k per average. Probably it will be sometimes lower but the last 2 months is like 50% of the year so even if it sell just 150k most of the time it will still manage to achieve 10 Mio LTD. Even if nothing would change. If the PS3 would sell like in the 399/499/599 Times it would still achiev the 60 Mio Until 2012. There is simply no chance that the PS3 wont sell under 60 Mio until 2012. If the sales trend goes on and the PS3 will peak in 2010 then it will be even more then 60 Mio. And LTD could end up significantly higher. The PS3 started just now its available since the last 2 months for most the people. Dont you think the PS3 will sell way more with a Price Tag of 199 then 599 ? If it sells less then it could be that the 60 Mio until 2012 wont happen but that is impossible in my eyes.

What has to happen that will be a prove for you that the PS3 will pass the 60 Mio until the end of 2012. If the PS3 will have 42 Mio 2011 will you change your mind ?


Lets take 4-5 Mio each Christmas. Then the PS3 could sell the rest of the year weekly 100-120k. And with every week it exceed this number the average goes down.