Gran Turismo 5, the first 20 million selling GT... maybe.

[Avinash_Tyagi]

ZorroX said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:

ZorroX said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:

ZorroX said:
20M is actually 33% from 60M, not 85%.
2009 - 30M+
2010 - 40M+ and 10M GT5
2011 - 50M+ and 5M GT5
2012 - 60M+ and 2M GT5

I expect GT6 to come only somewhere in 2012.

  PS3 at 60 million?

 

Seriously?

 

Right now its at 26 million, I think 60 million is out of the realm of possibility

PS3 will be 30M+ by the end of 2009. I even can bet with you on this.

Now, those 10M per year is a worst case scenario. PS3 just reached 299$ price. It yet to have 249$ and 199$. And every GT fan will buy 199$ PS3 bundled with GT5. I say, every.

How much you expect PS3 to do by the end of 2012? Less than 60M? This is a joke, right? You expect PS3 sales to decline, after pricecut? After FFXIII, GT5 and AGENT release?

Because??

because sales will decline, if not next year then the year after, because it'll have greater price pressures from 360, because it's successor will be announced, many reasons why it won't double its console base at this point

PSP sales won`t stop at 60M either.

PS3 is selling around 250k+ every week since pricecut and slim release. And during October that was not an Christmas effect, but new price and slim model effect. And that effect will continue after Christmas.

Many people were saying, that after slim PS3 sales will go below 200k or even 150k. But it didn`t. What price pressure? x360 elite won`t be at 199$ by the end of 2010, and 50$ difference is too small, 399$ vs 349$ PS3 proved that. Also, when console reach mass market price, the price difference doesn`t matter that much.

Successor? Just not before 2012.

Even at 250K sales rate, it would take over 2 and a half years to get to 60 million, its not going to sell at 250K for that long, also you don't know how much MS will price cut, they are making profit, so they can afford it, Sony can't.