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Joelcool7 said:
jarrod said:
I'd expect Mario Kart like sales honestly, it's multiplayer focused and probably the most approachable game on Wii. I also think it's highly likely Nintendo will bundle the game next year alongside Wii Sports, further inflating sales.

I don't think it will break the 18-million mark to be honest. I'd bet 11-mill lifetime sales WW. After playing the game hands on it is just too difficult for a casual gamer to enjoy. Lets face it , casual gamers want games they can just pick up and play and NewSuperMarioBros:Wii is not that kind of game. I spent all evenning playing and am only on World3 with over 12 continues. This game is very challenging it might have been easier if I wasn't playing multiplayer but it is still definatly not a game for casuals and non-gamers.

So its not really the most approachable game on the Wii their are far more casual games for the non-gamers, casual gamers to pick up rather then pick up a sidescrolling Mario! The brand name will likely sell NewSuperMarioBros:Wii to the hardcore and some older gamers who grew up playing Mario but thats about it.

Honestly 11 mill is being optamistic chances are it'll level off about 8-9 mill like Galaxy did!

Super Guide's a bit of a response to the high tuned difficulty, but I also think the difficulty's somewhat overstated.  It really isn't any harder than SMB1 or SMB3.

I think it'll hit Iwata's 10m (shipped) goal by March, beyond that it's hard to say but the social nature of the multiplayer and brand name I think will ensure a longer tail than Galaxy (more like Brawl or Kart).  18m would be more the limit I'd see, unless it gets bundled like I suspect.