Well what I thought would happen does seem to be happening... Wii owners are in the stores on the hype of MW2 and picking MW Reflex because of it. It's really not all that surprising and that is going to drive sales of the game. At least in the short term... will need a nice marketing campaign to have similar sales of World at War unless that brand is starting to do a little better on the Wii.
I think your predictions for first week are quite solid. My guess would have been about 50,000 but I'd go with a 30k-40k range as well. I'll just be curious of how this game sales once the holidays hit. World at War got helped by the TV commercials but its possible Reflex could sell in the long run just by having Modern Warfare in the name. Especially considering it doesn't have to compete with anything in that genre. Well I guess The Conduit but it didn't build up enough brand to really be a big contender. So for LT, I don't have much of an answer but I'd assume at least 300,000 to 500,000 by the end of the year.
