RolStoppable said:
Boneitis said:
RolStoppable said:
Okay, I've found the thread in which you debated with Soriku and it made me laugh. Soriku actually believed that first party sales on the Wii are only about 1/3 of the total software.
And then I read your post where you stated it won't take too long until first party sales will account for 75 % of the total software sold. That made me laugh even harder. You are both silly.
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Seriously, if the Wii is around for the life of the HD consoles. I believe 75% will account for Nintendo 1st party. Don't forget Wii Play and Wii Sports will continued to be bundled, old 1st parties games will be staples for the life of the Wii, and 3rd party support may decline.
Just my theory, doesn't seem impossible.
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I'll give you some maths.
Let's say third party sales stop at a total of 200m, that's only an additional 33m from now until the end of the Wii's lifespan. These 200m copies will only account for 25 % of the total software sold for the Wii according to your theory.
That leaves a total of 600m, or 414m of additional software sales for Nintendo. So in theory it would be 33m vs. 414m. Does that still look like a possible scenario to you? Remember, for every additional 1m of third party sales in this example, Nintendo would need to sell 3m games to end up with a 25:75 split.
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Well we'll have to wait and see. We'll discuss it in 5 years.
