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Soriku said:

Actually, my bad. I did some really crappy quick estimating at first, but the the split is closer to 1/2 which is about similar to the million seller graph I posted. We're missing some data for third party sales though. But third parties clearly take up more sales than Nintendo's games, even if it's not by that much.

We don't have proof, but lets say you're correct. Nintendo games sell in droves so if 1st party isn't over 50% yet. It's guaranteed to happen with the upcoming NSMBW, Mario Galaxy 2, and ofcourse the legs of games they've already released.