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Kenology said:
The Wii Japanese market just needs a serious kick in the arse right now. Monster Hunter 3 did that but there was no follow up in time - as Wii Sports Resort and Wii Fit Plus probably sold to the existing fanbase initially.

Crystal Bearers' American success will probably offset its so-so numbers in Japan, although I do agree that the Wii market in Japan seriously needs a jumpstart.  This latest mediocre debut needs to provide a wake-up call for Nintendo and its third-party members to shake things up.  Yes, MH3 was a hit, but what next?

 

Tales of Graces -- This is very promising to be a hit.  IT's among the top pre-ordered games in Japan, and it'll certainly be a hit.

 

New Super Mario Bros. Wii -- Absolutely.  It's Mario, and Mario is a best-selling franchise in Japan.

 

Samurai Warriors 3 -- Difficult to say.  It HAS jumped up in preorders, but I think it'll be the least successful of the three.

 

Taiko 2 -- The first one was a hit, but will this do any better?