I honestly think Sony's Wand is a bigger threat to Nintendo than Natal

[peachbuggy]

I think 3rd parties will play a part too and whereas the Sony wand games will be marketed at an install base of 0, games for the Wii will be marketed at an install base of 55m+ probably 65m+. See the difference? 3rd parties do not have limitless supplies of money and will have no ideas about how the sales of wands or NATAL are going to go. Bear in mind that the Wii has wii motes right out of the box, whereas consumers will have to pay extra for wands or NATALs. We have no idea how much they will cost or how many will be adopted. So do 3rd parties, with their limited amount of money develop loads of different SKUs or do they gamble and develop games for NATAL or wands in the hope there is a large adoption of these products? The third option is to only release Wii motion games. I personally think this is the option most companies will go for but with maybe some overlap with the Sony wand, due to its similarities with the Wii mote. I honestly think that given the tried and tested install base which will be 60m+ against an install base of 0, any publisher with a brain will go to the highest installed base. There is no explaining some companies' business decisions though, so in some cases i may be wrong.

So in conclusion i say both the Wand and NATAL will not be a significant threat to the Wii.