This is a good (very rough) analysis of what should happen because many/most of the factors that encourage people to buy a console for christmas are factored into sales in October. Lower cost consoles near the end of their lives (and portable systems) generally get a bigger boost because they make very good presents for younger children; because of this I would expect the Gameboy Advance and PS2 to both get much better sales than his analysis would lead you to believe.







